This paper evaluates spatial market integration in cereal markets in Sudan, focusing on wheat and sorghum, two major cereal crops. Sudan’s context provides important insights on the functioning of markets in economies marred by sanctions, conflicts, soaring inflation, and macroeconomic imbalances. We use long-ranging monthly cereal price data and a vector of error-correction cointegration model (VECM) to characterize both short-term and long-term spatial price adjustment across cereal markets
Training Workshop: Food Policy Analysis Using Partial Equilibrium Modeling
Partial equilibrium models can provide important insights for food policy in the context of shocks to production, household incomes and international prices. Combining estimates of current levels of supply, demand by various household groups and key model parameters describing the responsiveness of supply and demand to changes in prices and incomes, these models help to quantify effects of economic shocks and alternative policy options.
الصراع القائم بين روسيا وأكرانيا وتفاقم مشاكل الأمن الغذائي في السودان
تسبب الغزو الروسي لأوكرانيا في تعطيل الإنتاج الزراعي والتجارة من إحدى أهم مناطق العالم لتصدير المواد الغذائية، وتهدد الحرب بارتفاعٍ أسعار المواد الغذائية المتزايدة بالفعل، وستؤدي كذلك إلى ندرتها، ولا سيما في المناطق الأكثر اعتمادًا على القمح والصادرات الأخرى من روسيا وأوكرانيا – وتحديدًا بلدان منطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا.
The Russia-Ukraine conflict is likely to compound Sudan’s existing food security problems
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has disrupted agricultural production and trade from one of the world's major food exporting regions. The war threatens to drive rising food prices still higher and create scarcity, especially for regions most dependent on wheat and other exports from Russia and Ukraine—particularly the Middle East and North Africa.
NEW PUBLICATION: Prioritizing development policy research in Sudan – An innovative approach to guide IFPRI’s Sudan Strategy Support Program
This paper presents an innovative approach to prioritizing development policy research in Sudan to inform the research agenda of the Sudan SSP.
